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As “Harry
Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part Two” continues its profitable run in
cinemas around the world, the thoughts of the packaged media industry will turn
to the many ways that the series on video will be diced, sliced and repackaged
in the years to come. Boxed sets in the guise of standard, premium and
collector’s editions are no doubt ready for the shelves and some say that
Warner Bros. has planned the “Ultimate 3D Edition” for a year or two hence. The
magic will continue.
As IHS
Screen Digest Senior Film Entertainment Analyst Jan Saxton explained, “Once a
kid is hooked on the first book and begins to beg his parents for the movie,
Warner gets that sale—and almost inevitably, seven more soon thereafter.”
Young
people who have grown up with Potter over the past ten years will understand
that prediction as they follow Ron and Hermione into the realms of parenthood.
But there are other words in the analysis that their offspring might find
harder to understand: such as “book”, “DVD” and “Blu-ray”.
Potter’s
children will have no need of such muggle-inspired ideas, (aka the thoughts of
their ‘old fashioned’ parents and grandparents) since they will be able to
download both book and film onto their “iPad 13” and watch it.
Usually,
at this point a voice pops up to advise that we will all have high-speed
connections sometime soon and that fibre optics will bring multiple movies in
high-definition to our homes at little or no cost. Even if this proves to be
true (and see previous editions of Eye on the Supply to learn just how likely
that might be), to give a physical object is a great motivator to discover what
lies within.
Although
the future is another country to most of us, there are some certainties not
least of which is that Harry and his chums will continue to appeal. It also is
likely that the complete works of J. K. Rowling will become less physical and
more digital in their consumption, for a while at least. Once-treasured first
editions of her books might find a home in charity shops as the on-line
generation turns to downloads for its entertainment. The parents who grew up
with Harry Potter at their bedside, however, will find it hard not to pass-on
the reading habit to their own children, if not their well-thumbed volumes.
As a
present, a book token with a suggestion of what it might buy is not the same as
the gift of the “real thing” with an enticing cover. Would a voucher to the
value of a digital download of the “Goblet of Fire” on Kindle and Blu-ray
receive quite the same attention as a gift-wrapped parcel? And while a book or
a disc comes without any commitments, a pre-payment card for the online
equivalent would not include the data costs involved in the download.
Excluding
the final part of the epic, the series on Blu-ray occupies nine discs, which at
a conservative estimate represents around 400 GB of data. Add the finale, a set
of e-books and some bonus material and the total approaches 500 GB, a large
amount of data by any standards. The fortunate few with a 50 Mbps connection
could theoretically transfer the Potter oeuvre in a day. Households with the UK
average broadband speed of 6.2 Mbps could retrieve it over a week of non-stop
downloading.
This, of
course, assumes that the ISP does not invoke its “fair use” policy and restrict
data downloads beyond a defined limit. For example, one of the few ISPs to
offer superfast broadband, Virgin Media, caps its heavy users at 10 GB, after
which they cut the transfer speed by 75% for the following five hours. As each
Blu-ray disc can hold up to 50 GB, the download could extend over a matter of
weeks. The child who wakes up early on Christmas morning to discover that Santa
has left a voucher for a Potter download will probably have lost interest by
the time it completes on New Year’s Day.
GE Global
Research has worked for the past six years on a format that could effectively
bridge the gap between physical and digital media – a Blu-ray sized disc that
holds up to 500 GB of data. It opens the door to the concept of a single disc
that can store the equivalent of a box set with content that could be unlocked
and copied directly to companion devices.
Traditional
disc media, such as CD, DVD and Blu-ray, relies on reflective layers held by a
protective coat of moulded polycarbonate. Although there have been successful
attempts to add to the one or two layers in common use, none has found favour
in the consumer market. Manufacturing costs increase, the yield falls as the
reject rate rises, and the increase in capacity is marginal.
The
solution is to use all the space between the two surfaces of the disc,
so-called “volumetric storage”, in a holographic format. For years this has
been an elusive dream pursued at great cost by several companies, most of which
no longer exist. Now it seems that there is a commercial solution in the
pipeline, although it remains some way from a marketable product.
GE
scientists have devised what they call “bit-wise volume holography” – a
technology that cries out for a catchy acronym – that can record data at the
speed of Blu-ray. The analogy is no coincidence: the GE format is the same size
as a BD and the long-term intention is to make consumer devices that will play
both Blu-ray and holographic discs.
The
immediate market for this technology is for data archive and retrieval systems
where extended life of the storage medium is essential. If the discs can be
replicated economically, they could eventually find a place in content
distribution networks. Modern hard drives are cheap and reliable but they wear
out and fail over time. Optical storage does not have the same problem; a beam
of laser light does no harm to the disc as it scans the holographic
information.
If GE can
licence a consumer version of the product to a CE manufacturer, there could be
a resurgence of physical media. Holographic storage would have to be part of a
complete ecosystem, not just an alternative to the Blu-ray player in the living
room, but the potential is immense.
Imagine a
digital locker that lives in the home, a repository for existing DVD and
Blu-ray collections as well as a physical distribution platform for 3DHD and
beyond. If designed from the ground up, a holographic system could satisfy
every bit of the data storage requirement in the home of the future. Content
protection could be built-in by writing an invisible signature on every disc
that would permanently identify its source.
The
fastest way to get large amounts of data from one place to another has often
been via “sneaker-net” – hand-carrying several Terabytes of data stored on
portable hard drives. A dozen GE holographic discs would weigh much less and
could do the same job, potentially at a lower cost.
Superfast
broadband will undoubtedly encircle the globe at some point in the future.
Until then, its primary use will be for the distribution of volatile and
time-sensitive data. Enduring content is best stored on robust media in the
hands of the person who owns it.
In the
home, the 500 GB holographic disc would be magic.
Just think of the smile on
the face of the digitally savvy child who wakes up on Christmas morning to find
the “Complete Harry Potter” beside the bed – everything from “The Philosopher's
Stone” to “Tales of Beedle The Bard” and all of it ready to play, instantly and
in perpetuity.
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